In San Francisco last night, at an event celebrating the 50th anniversary of Moore's law, Intel's Gordon Moore sat down with author and New York Times columnist Thomas Friedman to discuss the genesis of the law, its impressive staying power, and whether the law will ever meet its demise.
Mostly, it seems that Moore still humbly struggles with the fact that he identified a pattern in 1965 that is going strong 50 years later. “I was beginning to see in our laboratory that we would get more electronics on a chip, and this was an opportunity to get that message across,” Moore said at the event, according to VentureBeat. “I had no idea it would be so precise as a prediction.”
As you may know, the original prediction was that transistor counts would double every year. In 1975, as progress slowed a little, he revised it down to double-every-two-years—which for the last 40 years or so has been remarkably accurate. “I can’t see anything else that has gone on for such a long time with exponential growth,” Moore said.
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